See your real chance of selection this year, your estimated years-to-entry, and the honest math behind the wait.
Selected runners averaged ~8.9 stones
That's 1 in 32 — about as likely as rolling snake eyes.
UTMB publishes no per-entry odds, so here's the demand instead.
With 1 Stone, you'd sit below the applicant average — a rough estimate, since UTMB doesn't publish per-entry odds.
Source: utmb.world + electriccablecar.com. Demand exceeds capacity by roughly 5× (about 1 in 5), weighted by Running Stones. Not affiliated with the race organizations.
Your path to UTMB
Run UTMB races to earn stones. The harder the race, the more stones you earn.
A weighted draw on Running Stones, which you earn by finishing UTMB World Series races. The more Stones you hold, the more entries you get in the draw.
You earn Stones by finishing UTMB World Series races — the longer and tougher the race, the more it awards. Because the draw is weighted, more Stones mean more entries in the hat, but a place is never guaranteed: demand across the Finals runs roughly 5× the available spots.
Odds
Coarse estimate only — UTMB publishes no per-entry odds. Demand runs about 5× capacity (~1 in 5); we weigh your 1 Stone against the average applicant's 6.4.
UTMB World Series — how it works